Nations Unies

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Has Vladimir Putin become the master of the game? Why and how did the Russian President decide to attack Ukraine? Did he seek to prevent Ukraine from associating with Europe? Does he seek to reconstitute the USSR? Did NATO promise not to expand east after 1990? Is the Nord Stream 2 project the sinews of war? Is Ukraine's neutrality the only solution? Has Russia ever lost or won the war?...

Based on the files of the intelligence services and official reports, Jacques Baud thus reviews the events of the recent history of Russia, which led to the war with Ukraine; it analyzes the various disputes between the West and Russia, and sheds light on the role that Putin plays today on the international scene.

Jacques Baud is a former member of Swiss strategic intelligence, a specialist in Eastern European countries and head of United Nations peace operations doctrine. He was engaged in negotiations with top Russian military and intelligence officials right after the fall of the USSR. Within NATO, he participated in programs in Ukraine and in particular after the Maidan revolution in 2014 and 2017. He is the author of several books on intelligence, war and terrorism, and in particular Governing by fake news and The Navalny affair, published by Max Milo.


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Cette conférence s'inscrit dans le cycle Europe du Collège de France 2021-2022 consacré au thème Les deux Europes.

Cycle : The Fear of Shrinking Numbers. Democracy, Demography and the East-West Divide in Europe / L'angoisse du déclin. Démocratie, démographie et fracture Est-Ouest en Europe

Titre : Democratization and Ethnic (De)Homogenization

Intervenant : Ivan Krastev, Président du Centre for Liberal Strategies de Sofia (Bulgarie), invité par le professeur Samantha Besson.

Conférence du 07 octobre 2021 en anglais.

Découvrez les autres conférences du cycle :
https://www.college-de-france.fr/site/samantha-besson/guestlecturer-2021-2022__1.htm

Chaire du professeur Samantha Besson :
Droit international des institutions

Accédez à ses enseignements :
https://www.college-de-france.fr/site/samantha-besson

Conference in English (Conférence en anglais)

The second lecture focuses on the centrality of the demographic factor in explaining the transformation of European liberal democracies and European welfare states. It argues that while until recently, the relationship between democracy and demography was usually thought of in Malthusian terms (too many people and not enough resources), the demographic shock voiced in parts of Europe today is radically different.

It is caused by political fears of demographic decline, depopulation, and a widening gap in opportunities and social attitudes between metropolitan centers and outlying areas. The picture is especially bleak in Central and Eastern Europe, where fertility is low and outmigration is high. The United Nations estimates that since the 1990s, the nations of this region have lost about 6 percent of their collective population, or about eighteen-million persons. If these people formed a country, it would be nearly as populous as the Czech Republic and Hungary combined.

The lecture discusses the diverging paths of ethnic homogenization and ethnic diversity in the West of Europe and the East of Europe since World War I and its significance in explaining the nature of Central European populism of today.

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